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Created Feb 11, 2025 by Eulah Bock@eulahbock3571Maintainer

Our new Deepseek-based AI Says


Our new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl predictions from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting

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Nobody can forecast the future however at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to provide it its finest shot. With up to date news and grandtribunal.org a little however spirited 14 Billion criterion design, our AI is boldly forecasting the unpredictable. Join us as we try to respond to mankind's hardest questions.

Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, just as two years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain lots of pushing questions that are less easy to select. Our company, Lightning arrester Labs, has been mining questions from places like polymarket.com and training a large language model to be much better at anticipating the future (and users.atw.hu have seen some intriguing enhancements - research study paper incoming). This week we turned its cold, determining eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can offer us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion specification model which is really on the smaller side. (Some quotes recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION parameters and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from numerous months back so we have actually built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we supply the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unknown territory to make its best forecast possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We positioned the following to our AI and assessed its response. While we have seen prediction improvements from our training, use these quotes for prop betting at your own danger.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% possibility

Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, but a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposition. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposal ...

First, I'll look at the bottom lines from the articles. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor considering that 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been helpful of his career, attending his games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even invited her family and friends to the Super Bowl, showing her commitment.

Some fans are excited, while others, particularly Swifties, are a bit uncertain, especially provided comments Travis made about Donald Trump participating in the Super Bowl. That has triggered some Swifties to question how appropriate Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship personal and not addressing the speculation straight.

I believe the bottom lines are the speculation and his evasive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an essential event, the chances and his reactions recommend it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd approximate a low probability, perhaps around 5%, considering all factors.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the incredibly bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% possibility

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" move, now its simply a various front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even know what a "tush" is? Will it consider that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's comparable attempts? Looks like our AI thinks they'll be utilizing Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this game.

Alright, I'm attempting to find out the probability that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I require to comprehend what exactly a "tush-push" is. From the posts, it appears like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, valetinowiki.racing utilizes his legs and lower body strength to press off defenders. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and method.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to execute the relocation. The post points out that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this strategy, which is pretty high. ... I also need to believe about the defensive methods of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs understand the Eagles' "tush-push" method, they might adjust their defense appropriately, which could either increase or reduce the variety of times the Eagles use it.

Considering that more than five seems like a significant number however possible provided their confidence, I would approximate a likelihood around 60-70% chance. This represents their preparation, self-confidence in the strategy, and the likelihood that they'll use it numerous times, particularly if it's efficient early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime program efficiency?

AI Final Prediction: 65% opportunity

While our AI might not be like us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling back and forth, however in the end it thinks Kendrick isn't going to back down from a battle.

From the short articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his songs, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement during a previous halftime show when Trump existed in 2018. That appears significant since it shows he's done it in the past, so maybe he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more recent articles, it mentions that Lamar is moving far from political statements and focusing more on individual expression. That could indicate he's less likely to resolve Trump this time.

However, he's also included in a fight with Drake, which might provide him factors to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal issues surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a libel suit from Drake, so possibly he bewares about consisting of any questionable tunes in the efficiency. But because he won the Grammys for that track, he may still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile occasion, Lamar may feel obliged to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to avoid political statements throughout the halftime program, so there's a danger that such material may be restricted or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making vibrant carry on huge stages. He's the first solo rap act to headline the halftime program, which might provide him more creative freedom. Plus, his past habits suggests he's not shy about expressing his viewpoints, even in public performances.

But I also remember reading that Lamar expressed fatigue about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might show he's less inspired to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he's focusing on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, existing shifts in focus, legal problems, and the occasion's context-the likelihood appears to be moderately high, maybe around 65%.

Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the very bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% possibility

Lets be sincere, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the reality that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its prediction? Looks like theres somewhat of a possibility that if the chiefs taste triumph, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't indicate to cause offense which he really discovered it amusing himself. Reid seemed to take it in stride, which might indicate he's the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.

Taking a look at the short articles, it mentions that Andy Reid is a food lover and loves cheeseburgers. There's a short article specifically about his love for food, which suggests that he's an individual who delights in eating, particularly with his team. So, if there were strategies to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, particularly if the circumstance is on screen for a celebration.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% possibility

"Tails never ever fails?" You can't fool the makers !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have actually been predicting the coin toss and 53% are forecasting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 super bowls. Potentially financially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be tricked and believes anything can take place when that coin goes in the air.

Okay, so I'm attempting to determine the likelihood that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, but there's some historic information that might influence this forecast.

First, I check out the short articles offered. They all discuss the historical data of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has actually turned up more frequently than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the outcome 30 times, which is about 52%, while heads has actually been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a minor edge, but it's not a huge difference.

However, I bear in mind that the result of a coin toss is usually considered random. The small historical edge for tails could be due to opportunity. But when making predictions, often individuals weigh historical data even if it's not statistically considerable. So, I should think about whether this historic bias must influence the probability.

After believing about it, I decide that while the historical information shows a slight preference for tails, it's not statistically significant sufficient to move the possibility away from 0.5. So, I'll go with 0.5 as the likelihood, acknowledging that the minor historic edge exists but doesn't override the fact that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.

Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% chance

We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I guarantee we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would most likely believe the same. BUT, its official now due to the fact that our AI says the opportunities are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still sort of high when it pertains to scams on a nationwide scale). Appears like the Chiefs will have to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm trying to figure out the possibility that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty major accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of articles that speak about conspiracy theories recommending referees are biased towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some questionable contact recent games, particularly the AFC National championship. That does appear to stimulate some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get frustrated when their group loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.

But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "preposterous" and "outrageous." They state there's no proof of systematic predisposition. That's a strong statement from the individuals in charge. If they're rejecting it, it may imply there's no genuine basis or they would have addressed it in a different way if there was some reality to it.

Taking a look at the posts, several sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise discussed that statistical analysis doesn't show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For instance, Mike Pereira from FOX said information reveals the Chiefs have actually been penalized more since 2022. That's intriguing since if they were getting unique treatment, you might anticipate fewer penalties, right?

...

So, putting it all together, the likelihood that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably really low. Maybe not zero due to the fact that you can't rule out every possibility, however incredibly unlikely.

Summary

There you have it everybody, is it even worth viewing the video game still? I guess I'll have to wait and see how the game turns out before we release this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for a great game! And hey, if it turns out our AI was incorrect about whatever, a minimum of it can gain from this.

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